Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.001123 0.001266 0.001410 0.001565 0.001729 0.001894 0.002075
2025-03-30 0.000924 0.001128 0.001342 0.001579 0.001834 0.002098 0.002392
2025-04-06 0.000765 0.001013 0.001280 0.001585 0.001920 0.002273 0.002671
2025-04-13 0.000635 0.000915 0.001226 0.001590 0.001998 0.002434 0.002931
2025-04-20 0.000513 0.000813 0.001158 0.001571 0.002042 0.002553 0.003142
2025-04-27 0.000412 0.000724 0.001096 0.001553 0.002082 0.002663 0.003340
2025-05-04 0.000365 0.000696 0.001103 0.001611 0.002205 0.002864 0.003636
2025-05-11 0.000316 0.000660 0.001096 0.001648 0.002303 0.003034 0.003896
2025-05-18 0.000220 0.000549 0.000987 0.001558 0.002249 0.003028 0.003955
2025-05-25 0.000159 0.000476 0.000921 0.001517 0.002247 0.003079 0.004076
2025-06-01 0.000113 0.000418 0.000870 0.001489 0.002258 0.003143 0.004210
2025-06-08 0.000084 0.000381 0.000844 0.001491 0.002304 0.003246 0.004386
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000365 0.000851 0.001541 0.002415 0.003434 0.004671
2025-06-22 0.000044 0.000335 0.000836 0.001561 0.002490 0.003579 0.004908
2025-06-29 0.000026 0.000303 0.000814 0.001571 0.002552 0.003709 0.005127
2025-07-06 0.000012 0.000272 0.000792 0.001580 0.002611 0.003835 0.005340
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000233 0.000753 0.001562 0.002635 0.003918 0.005504
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000198 0.000715 0.001545 0.002659 0.004000 0.005665
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000195 0.000732 0.001603 0.002778 0.004196 0.005960
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000184 0.000735 0.001641 0.002871 0.004360 0.006216
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000131 0.000652 0.001552 0.002797 0.004321 0.006232
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000100 0.000604 0.001511 0.002784 0.004353 0.006331
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000077 0.000566 0.001483 0.002786 0.004405 0.006451